There has been a constant stream of emails from website readers in the last couple of years, primarily from clients who have been able to jag a good sized exotic dividend in a trifecta or First 4 – after website comments have steered them in the right direction following Friday night’s free race previews (go up weekly on the Brisbaneracing/Sydneyracing and Melbourneracing websites each Friday night after 7pm Queensland time).

The present system for supposed “expert” Form Guide comments in both daily newspapers and specialist form papers like Sportsman, Winning Post and Best Bets are written at least two days out from the meeting, such that they are making predictions on each runner without even knowing with any degree of certainty what the final track rating will be on the day in question. Then in some publications like Best Bets, there are five sets of selections for each race – normal tips, tips allowing for “on pace” and “run on” bias, as well as for “dead/slow” and “slow/heavy” going. I respectfully suggest you could go nuts just interpreting it. Saturday Morning Mail will only go out after the final scratching deadline has passed and the race day track rating is known, hence all final scratchings and track information will be noted on the information that gets sent out to valued clients.

I have selected Brisbane as the city to do Saturday Morning Mail on, as a dollar earned punting in Brisbane is exactly the same as a dollar earned via punting in either Sydney or Melbourne. Brisbane’s tracks of Doomben and Eagle Farm historically don’t have bias concerns and I live within an hour of each, so am able to get accurate information on the tracks. Additionally I know the trainers and jockeys – not that I want their information – but I know their limitations and which ones are overrated by price assessors, and other parties.

Whilst the normal focus of the Saturday Morning Mail will revolve around my making a comment on every Brisbane runner on the day, Saturday Group 1 races in Sydney and Melbourne will also be done as part of the report, such that if there are cumulatively two Group 1 races on in Sydney or Melbourne, I will drop two ordinary races from the Brisbane report and replace them with the southern Group 1’s. The Brisbane race/s that will be dropped will normally be the lowest quality races on the card. However, by popular demand, it should be noted that during both the entire Spring and Autumn Carnivals down south, all eight races previewed for Saturday Morning Mail clients will be selected from only Sydney and Melbourne races.

If a track is rated “slow” or “heavy” on a Saturday meeting, I will personally exclusively report on the wet track breeding aspect for clients. For my 2006 published book I researched the progeny of 936 individual stallions to rate their prowess at handling rain affected going and that same knowledge has been used successfully in the past in numerous cases, even in Group 1 races like the 2009 Golden Slipper which was run on a “heavy 9” track, when the quinella pair of Phelan Ready and Headway both started officially at 25/1, after better had been bet the night before my report went up. That preview can be read by clicking HERE. On that race on the NSW TAB the Quinella paid $245.30, the Exacta $455.10, the Trifecta $4068.40 and the First 4 paid $39,795.90.

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